Might the Bitcoin halving propel cryptocurrency prices? Key insights as Token reaches historic high

Might the Bitcoin halving drive cryptocurrency prices higher? Learn more about its potential impact.

Mar 15, 2024 - 13:00
Mar 15, 2024 - 21:45
Might the Bitcoin halving propel cryptocurrency prices? Key insights as Token reaches historic high
Bitcoin

Bitcoin operates on a decentralized computer network, known as a distributed public ledger, which records transaction details in individual "blocks" of data linked together in a chain. This blockchain is expanded through a process called mining, where miners solve complex mathematical problems to add new blocks and earn newly minted bitcoin as a reward.

However, the reward for mining decreases over time, halving approximately every 210,000 blocks added to the network. This is a deliberate measure to control the cryptocurrency's supply by slowing down its production. The previous three halving events occurred in 2012, 2016, and 2020, reducing the block reward from 50 bitcoin to 25, 12.5, and 6.25 bitcoin, respectively. Although the exact date of the next halving is not fixed, it is anticipated to occur around April 2024, reducing the block reward to 3.125 bitcoin.

How does halving influance Bitcoin's price?

Bitcoin halving solely impacts the pace at which new bitcoin enters circulation and doesn't alter the quantity or worth of existing tokens. The speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market makes it challenging to attribute value fluctuations solely to halving events. While some attribute past bitcoin price surges to halving events, it's unclear if halving itself or other factors drove these changes. Nevertheless, the mining ecosystem will likely undergo transformation post-halving, as miners will need to double their energy and resource input to earn the same amount of bitcoin. This may prompt miners to streamline operations for cost-effectiveness and efficiency.

Bitcoin, valued at approximately $1.4 trillion, represents around half of the total $2.9 trillion cryptocurrency market. It has recently experienced a remarkable surge, with gains of roughly 80% this year and peaking at an all-time high surpassing $72,000. Concurrently, other cryptocurrencies like ether, the second largest by market capitalization, have also reached levels not seen in two years as the market rebounds from various crashes and scandals, including the collapse of significant institutions like FTX, Celsius, and Three Arrows, as well as the failure of major networks like terraUSD (UST) and Luna, resulting in billions of dollars in losses. While the ongoing rally could be attributed to the impending halving event, other factors such as investor enthusiasm for cryptocurrency and the approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) might also be contributing. It's possible that current high prices already account for any anticipated increase due to the halving event, and there's no assurance that prices would continue to rise afterward.

21 million bitcoins represent the total supply limit set for the cryptocurrency, a fundamental principle of the project. Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, designed this limit and the halving process to counteract inflation commonly observed in traditional currencies. Currently, over 19 million bitcoins are in circulation. Assuming halving occurs approximately every four years, new bitcoins will continue to be minted until around 2140.